Team Scoring in the SICHL Half Way Editionby Pat Booth | February 21, 2019, 2:20 PM ET
Well we are more than halfway through the season now so it's time again to take a look at scoring in the SICHL and see how our predictions are holding up. We are now on pace to a predicted 6963 goals! That's an amazing increase up 200 goals compared to the quarter season mark and 566 compared to last year which would make it the highest scoring season in 5 years. We also now have 5 teams on pace for 300 or more goals which hasn't happened since the silly 12/13 season. Now to look at the teams leading the way.
As a reminder we predicted the Riders, Bears, Norsemen, Revolution and Krunch in the top 5 with the Schooners and Rapids potential upsets and honourable mentions to the Spartans and Huskies. Last time we looked at our top scoring predictions the order looked like this.
1. Nova Scotia Schooners – 103 goals
2. St. Louis Spartans 99 goals
3. Reykjavik Riders – 91 goals
4. Vancouver Island Norsemen – 94 goals
5. Denver Rapids – 85 goals
6. Acadia Golden Bears – 87 goals
9. Whitehorse Huskies 79 goals
13. Havana Revolution – 71 goals
15. Kansas City Krunch – 71 goals
Things have moved around a bit especially at the top and I'm happy to announce we have a new leader.
1.Denver Rapids jump 4 spots to take 1st place. 7 players in double digit goals, 2 over 20 goals. They have increased their Goals Per Game by 0.85 the fourth best increase over this span. They also boast the leagues highest shooting percentage at 13.87% and if that can hold up they have a good chance of staying here.
2. Reykjavik Riders climb one spot on the strength of their scoring depth with 7 players in double digit goals but none inside the top 15 scorers. They boast the leagues number 2 powerplay at 25% and have scored 41 goals on it. They've also got a big boost from their backend adding 40 goals.
3.Vancouver Island Norsemen also climb one spot into a top 3 spot we had predicted for them. We attribute this to Mathew Barzal coming back from injury and putting up 8 goals in 19 games, William “3pts more than a dman” Karlsson as well as the Norsemen's 4 scorers in the top 50.
3. St. Louis Spartans drop a spot and are tied with the Norsemen, not through any fault of their own just an increase on other teams part we expect them to stay in the top 5. 6 players in double digit goals including Pernel Karl Suban the defensive scoring leader and 2 players over 20 goals.
5. Nova Scotia Schooners drop 4 spots having been hit hard by injuries with Wayne Simmonds, Roman Josi and John Tavares missing significant time causing their Goals Per Game to drop by 0.59 the second worst in the league. Despite this they still have 3 of the top 50 scorers and 6 guys with 10 or more. They also have the leagues highest scoring top 3 players Gabriel Landeskog, Jonathan Toews and Nikita Kucherov have combined for 64 goals or 39% of the Schooners goals.
6. Acadia Golden Bears have not climbed as we thought they would but that could be caused by a long injury to Sean Couturier who has only played 26 games but has 17 goals. Patrick Maroon has also struggled with just 1 goal despite playing all 45 games. The Bears have scored 4 or more goals in 5 of their last 10 and Couturier will be back from injury soon so we again predict them to start climbing.
9. Havana Revolutions scoring problems confound our experts. While their defensive prowess is impressive having allowed just 83 goals in 43 games far and away the lowest in the league we only care about goals. They have been completely healthy with 15 of 18 players playing every game. They jump up 4 spots at the halfway point by increasing their scoring output by 0.57 Goals Per Game but are still half a goal per game down from the top 5. Brent Burns will need to produce more than 4 goals in the second half if the Revolution are to get into the top 5
11. Whitehorse Huskies slip a couple spots still trying to find some depth scoring as they only have 4 players with more than 10 goals. Brendan Gallagher and Nazem Kadri will need more than 13 goals between them in the second half. Whitehorse has been snakebitten with the leagues 23rd worst shooting percentage at 9.8% so if a few more bounces go their way they can climb.
12. Kansas City Krunch move up 3 spots with an impressive scoring increase of 0.60 Goals Per Game. As predicted they have a strong upper end with 6 forwards with 10 or more goals, but they also have 7 guys with 3 or less goals. Our experts may have been off on a top 5 finish as they would need to increase their scoring by almost a goal per game, but they may be able to crack the top 10 with a strong finish.
The Ottawa Slammers and Stockholm Cougars continue to hold down the 7th and 8th places respectively but have switched places from our last ranking. The Slammers can owe it to their top 3 scoring forwards who are the 5th highest scoring group and account for about 40% of their goals scored. The Cougars rely on Aleksander Barkov and Eric Staal they are the only team to have 2 scorers in the 10 and they alone account for a third of the Cougars scoring. They also have 5 Defensemen in the top 50 that add another 32 goals.
Rounding out the top 10 the Vancouver Vipers remain in 10th place with 6 players in double digits goals they have the leagues 4th best powerplay with 35 goals and opperating at nearly 23%.
We would like to end with a shout-out to the Brandon Wheat Kings increasing their scoring by a full 1.1 Goals Per Game scoring 58 goals in their last 18 games after scoring only 51 in their first 24.